Match Info

South American Championship Women U20 - Final Group

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carfem (Ypané)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Venezuela	DSPORTS+ Plus


	Venezuela U20 W		Ecuador U20 W

	1	X	2
	2.99	3.21	2.27	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.3
	2.92	3.02	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.68)	3.04 ↓ (3.17)	2.3 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venezuela U20 W
31.1%

Draw
29.7%

Ecuador U20 W
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28.6%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

28.4%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezuela U20 W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Ecuador U20 W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezuela U20 W than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ecuador U20 W than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Venezuela U20 W - Ecuador U20 W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Moran Gurumendi D. Y. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 1, Chirinos M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 2 - 1, Hernandez F. ⚽,
59', 2 - 2, Pico F. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Venezuela U20 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ecuador U20 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Venezuela U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Venezuela U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0.

Standings

Final Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Venezuela U20 W	5	1	1	3	10:10	0	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezuela U20 W
South American Championship U20 Women
19.02.26	Venezuela U20 W - Paraguay U20 W	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Argentina U20 W - Venezuela U20 W	2:2 ✺
12.02.26	Venezuela U20 W - Chile U20 W	0:0 ✺
10.02.26	Venezuela U20 W - Paraguay U20 W	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Colombia U20 W - Venezuela U20 W	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTTWL
- Ecuador U20 W
South American Championship U20 Women
19.02.26	Argentina U20 W - Ecuador U20 W	0:1 ✺
16.02.26	Colombia U20 W - Ecuador U20 W	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Peru U20 W - Ecuador U20 W	0:4 ✺
09.02.26	Ecuador U20 W - Bolivia U20 W	6:0 ✺
07.02.26	Ecuador U20 W - Argentina U20 W	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

South American Championship U20 Women
13.03.20	Venezuela U20 W - Ecuador U20 W	7:0

Venezuela U20 W - Ecuador U20 W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide