Match Info

GREECE: SUPER LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Veria Stadium (Veria)


	Veria		Iraklis

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.98
	3.55	3.06	2.01
	3.52	3.28	2.06
	3.5	3.1	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (2.88)	3.14 ↑ (2.93)	2.02 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Veria
26%

Draw
29%

Iraklis
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

30.7%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

30.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Veria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Veria's form might have worsened.

Iraklis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Iraklis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veria than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iraklis than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Iraklis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Veria - Iraklis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Veria won 1.

Veria is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Iraklis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Veria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Veria won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Veria won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Veria FC
Greek Super League 2
19.04.23	Almopos Aridaea - Veria	2:0 ✺
13.04.23	PAOK B - Veria	1:1 ✺
09.04.23	Veria - Thesprotos	3:0 ✺
02.04.23	Veria - Niki Volos	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Iraklis Larissa - Veria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTWLL
- Iraklis Thessalonikis
Greek Super League 2
19.04.23	Iraklis - Makedonikos	0:0 ✺
10.04.23	Panathinaikos B - Iraklis	1:1 ✺
05.04.23	Iraklis - Panserraikos	2:0 ✺
24.03.23	Almopos Aridaea - Iraklis	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Thesprotos - Iraklis	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League 2
09.12.22	Iraklis - Veria	1:1
30.03.22	Veria - Iraklis	3:1
29.12.21	Iraklis - Veria	1:0
Greek Super League
25.01.17	Veria - Iraklis	0:2
21.01.17	Iraklis - Veria	1:1
13.03.16	Iraklis - Veria	1:1
Greek Cup
13.01.16	Iraklis - Veria	1:0

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