The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vestri 45.5%
Draw 25.1%
Leiknir Reykjavík 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
24.6%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
23.5%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vestri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Leiknir Reykjavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leiknir Reykjavík might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vestri than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiknir Reykjavík than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Vestri - Leiknir Reykjavík Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Snaedal B. (G) 6. Balde I. 16. Campos M. 22. Gardarsson E. (C) 17. Hauksson G. 27. Morfelt C. 5. Payne D. 12. Phete T. 11. Selven J. 7. Stensson J. 15. Svavarsson G.
1. Olafsson O. (G) 3. Bogdanovic B. 7. Burknason B. 5. Halldorsson D. (C) 19. Hardarson A. 43. Hlifarsson K. S. 22. Jonsson T. 55. Kjartansson A. 29. Stefansson G. 9. Tjorvason J. 45. Vladisavljevic D.
Substitutes
1. Dogatovic V. 19. Duah E. 45. Einarsson G. 14. Eydal B. 77. Fall S. 23. Hermannsson B. 13. Johannsson A.
33. Agustsson A. 6. Arnason A. 21. Benediktsson E. 80. Gurung K. 30. Kjartansson A. 12. Kristinsson A. 16. Petursson V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Selven J. ⚽, Balde I. (A),
34', Selven J. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Stefansson G. (Own goal),
42', Jonsson T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Hauksson G. ↓, Fall S. ↑,
67', Jonsson T. ↓, Kjartansson A. ↑,
79', Campos M. ↓, Eydal B. ↑,
79', Stensson J. ↓, Duah E. ↑,
79', Selven J. ↓, Einarsson G. ↑,
79', Tjorvason J. ↓, Benediktsson E. ↑,
84', 🟨,
89', Hardarson A. ↓, Gurung K. ↑,
90+2', Eydal B. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vestri won 3.
Recent form of Vestri has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Leiknir R has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Leiknir R may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Vestri will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vestri won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Vestri won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).