Match Info

Date: 12 September 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	VfL Alfter		Deutz

	1	X	2
	1.34	5	6
	1.4	4.2	5
	1.42	4.4	5.2
	1.47	4.72	5.8
	1.36	5.15	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)	4.69 ↓ (5)	5.64 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VfL Alfter
64.7%

Draw
19.3%

Deutz
16%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79%

15.4%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VfL Alfter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Deutz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfL Alfter than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VfL Alfter, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deutz than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

VfL Alfter - Deutz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 12).

Alfter is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Deutz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Alfter is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alfter won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfter won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Alfter
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
05.09.21	Vichttal - VfL Alfter	1:4 ✺
29.08.21	Pesch - VfL Alfter	1:1 ✺
22.08.21	VfL Alfter - Glesch-Paffendorf	1:2 ✺
19.08.21	Breinig - VfL Alfter	1:2 ✺
15.08.21	VfL Alfter - Wesseling-Urfeld	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTLWW
- SV Deutz 05
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
05.09.21	Deutz - Pesch	1:6 ✺
29.08.21	Glesch-Paffendorf - Deutz	1:0 ✺
22.08.21	Deutz - Breinig	3:2 ✺
19.08.21	Wesseling-Urfeld - Deutz	1:2 ✺
15.08.21	Deutz - Siegburger	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
24.02.19	VfL Alfter - Deutz	1:1
26.08.18	Deutz - VfL Alfter	4:1

VfL Alfter - Deutz

Match Info

Current Win Probability

VfL Alfter - Deutz Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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