Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 33

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: OSTALB ARENA (Aalen)


	VfR Aalen		Astoria Walldorf

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.3
	2.5	3.75	2.45
	2.33	3.86	2.65
	2.56	3.88	2.41
	2.57	3.56	2.43
	2.55	3.6	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (3.22)	3.69 ↓ (3.82)	2.43 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VfR Aalen
37%

Draw
25%

Astoria Walldorf
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

24.2%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

23.3%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VfR Aalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in VfR Aalen's performance.

Astoria Walldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Astoria Walldorf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VfR Aalen than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VfR Aalen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astoria Walldorf than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Astoria Walldorf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

VfR Aalen - Astoria Walldorf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Marino S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Aalen is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aalen won 1.

Aalen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Walldorf is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Aalen won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Aalen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfR Aalen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
05.05.24	VfB Stuttgart II - VfR Aalen	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	VfR Aalen - FSV Frankfurt	1:3 ✺
20.04.24	Bahlinger - VfR Aalen	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	VfR Aalen - Schott Mainz	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - VfR Aalen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLT
- Astoria Walldorf
German Regionalliga Sudwest
05.05.24	Astoria Walldorf - Stuttgarter Kickers	3:2 ✺
27.04.24	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Astoria Walldorf	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Astoria Walldorf - Mainz II	4:1 ✺
13.04.24	Hessen Kassel - Astoria Walldorf	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Astoria Walldorf - TuS Koblenz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
05.11.23	Astoria Walldorf - VfR Aalen	2:1
24.03.23	Astoria Walldorf - VfR Aalen	1:1
14.09.22	VfR Aalen - Astoria Walldorf	2:2
14.05.22	Astoria Walldorf - VfR Aalen	0:2
20.11.21	VfR Aalen - Astoria Walldorf	1:4
04.05.21	VfR Aalen - Astoria Walldorf	2:1
16.01.21	Astoria Walldorf - VfR Aalen	1:0

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