Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BADEN-WÜRTTEMBERG - ROUND 9

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	VfR Mannheim		Denzlingen

	1	X	2
	1.72	4.06	4.08
	1.7	3.98	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.3)	4.02 ↑ (3.6)	3.95 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VfR Mannheim
53.8%

Draw
22.9%

Denzlingen
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

25%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

24.5%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VfR Mannheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in VfR Mannheim's performance.

Denzlingen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denzlingen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VfR Mannheim than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VfR Mannheim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denzlingen than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denzlingen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

VfR Mannheim - Denzlingen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches VfR Mannheim is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Denzlingen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Denzlingen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

VfR Mannheim will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfR Mannheim
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
16.09.23	VfR Mannheim - Reutlingen	2:0 ✺
08.09.23	Pforzheim - VfR Mannheim	5:0 ✺
02.09.23	VfR Mannheim - Oberachern	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Hollenbach - VfR Mannheim	4:0 ✺
26.08.23	VfR Mannheim - Mutschelbach	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLLW
- FC Denzlingen
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
16.09.23	Denzlingen - Pforzheim	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Oberachern - Denzlingen	5:0 ✺
02.09.23	Denzlingen - Hollenbach	0:2 ✺
30.08.23	Mutschelbach - Denzlingen	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Denzlingen - Göppingen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLTL

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