Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 12

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Dr. José de Matos (Viana do Castelo)


	Vianense		Desportivo Monção

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.95	5.7
	1.37	4.25	6.95
	1.5	3.92	5.85	Watch
	1.4	3.8	6.5
	1.39	4.05	7.42
	1.36	4.25	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.51)	4.04 ↑ (3.9)	6.57 ↑ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vianense
63.9%

Draw
22.4%

Desportivo Monção
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

23.1%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.4%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vianense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Desportivo Monção has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vianense than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportivo Monção than the current prediction. (+3%)

Vianense - Desportivo Monção Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, ⚽,
74', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Vianense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Desportivo Monção's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vianense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vianense is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vianense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Vianense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Vianense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
07.12.25	Mirandela - Vianense	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Vianense - Ribeira Brava	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Camacha - Vianense	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Celoricense - Vianense	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Vianense - Vilaverdense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTLT
- Desportivo Monção
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
07.12.25	Desportivo Monção - Tirsense	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Chaves B - Desportivo Monção	4:2 ✺
09.11.25	Desportivo Monção - Limianos	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Desportivo Monção - Bragança	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Mirandela - Desportivo Monção	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.02.23	Desportivo Monção - Vianense	0:0
23.10.22	Vianense - Desportivo Monção	2:1

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