Match Info

HUNGARY: OTP Bank Liga - Round 21

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Sostoi Stadion (Székesfehérvár)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Videoton		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.75	1.62
	4.8	3.6	1.6
	5.57	3.94	1.6
	5.42	3.81	1.62	Watch
	5	3.6	1.62
	5.3	3.71	1.64	Watch
	4.8	3.6	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.23 ↓ (5.26)	3.72 ↓ (3.87)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Videoton
17.7%

Draw
24.9%

Ferencvárosi
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

23.6%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

21.7%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Videoton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Videoton than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	4.8%	76.2%

Videoton - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Videoton will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nagy G. (G) 5. Kalandadze A. 4. Spandler C. (C) 3. Petrov S. 31. Serafimov N. 70. Holender F. 16. Simut M. 8. Melnyk B. 99. Peto M. 23. Szabo B. 11. Stefanelli N.	89. Grof D. (G) 25. Makreckis C. 27. Cisse I. 3. Gartenmann S. 99. Ramirez C. 66. Romao J. 64. Toth A. 24. Kehinde T. 15. Abu Fani M. 20. Traore A. 19. Varga B.
Substitutes
27. Bedi B. 57. Dala M. (G) 13. Kalmar Z. 77. Katona M. 44. Kemenes B. (G) 15. Kovacs M. 7. Milicevic I. 9. Saponjic I. 28. Sekularac K.	7. Ben Romdhane M. A. 32. Cirkovic A. 17. Civic E. 75. Joseph L. 54. Kajan N. 5. Keita N. 8. Pesic A. 34. Raul Gustavo 88. Rommens P. 11. Saldanha 29. Szecsi G. (G) 16. Zachariassen K.
Coaches
Peto T.	Keane R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Abu Fani M. ⚽, Varga B. (A),
7', 0 - 2, Makreckis C. ⚽, Toth A. (A),
18', Kalandadze A. ↓, Kalmar Z. ↑,
45', Simut M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Simut M. ↓, Katona M. ↑,
46', Holender F. ↓, Milicevic I. ↑,
46', Melnyk B. ↓, Saponjic I. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Szabo B. (Pen),
57', Serafimov N. 🟨,
60', Romao J. ↓, Rommens P. ↑,
60', Kehinde T. ↓, Cirkovic A. ↑,
68', Peto M. ↓, Kovacs M. ↑,
74', Cirkovic A. 🟨,
74', Serafimov N. 🟨,
76', Abu Fani M. ↓, Ben Romdhane M. A. ↑,
78', Kalmar Z. 🟨,
83', Saponjic I. 🟨,
84', 1 - 3, Ben Romdhane M. A. ⚽, Cisse I. (A),
88', Traore A. ↓, Keita N. ↑,
88', Varga B. ↓, Pesic A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fehérvár won 1.

Recent matches Fehérvár is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferencvárosi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fehérvár could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ferencvárosi is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Fehérvár won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 19:37 (average 1:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Fehérvár won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1.1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Videoton FC
Hungarian Cup
19.02.25	Gyirmót - Videoton	0:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
14.02.25	Videoton - Győri ETO	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Paksi SE - Videoton	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Videoton - Puskás Academy	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.01.25	Videoton - Radomlje	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLWW
- Ferencvárosi TC
UEFA Europa League
20.02.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Ferencvárosi	3:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
16.02.25	Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	Ferencvárosi - Viktoria Plzeň	1:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
09.02.25	Puskás Academy - Ferencvárosi	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Zalaegerszegi TE - Ferencvárosi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
20.10.24	Ferencvárosi - Videoton	2:0
10.03.24	Videoton - Ferencvárosi	0:2
12.11.23	Ferencvárosi - Videoton	0:1
06.08.23	Videoton - Ferencvárosi	3:5
02.04.23	Ferencvárosi - Videoton	2:2
06.11.22	Videoton - Ferencvárosi	2:2
14.08.22	Ferencvárosi - Videoton	4:0

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