Match Info

HUNGARY: OTP BANK LIGA - ROUND 8

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: MOL Arena Sosto (Székesfehérvár)


	Videoton		Kisvárda

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.75
	2.37	3.3	2.65
	2.45	3.4	2.65
	2.5	3.64	2.71
	2.45	3.4	2.5
	2.65	3.48	2.52
	2.35	3.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (3.25)	3.43 ↑ (3.43)	2.65 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Videoton
37.7%

Draw
27.1%

Kisvárda
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

27.2%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

26.9%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Videoton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Videoton's performance.

Kisvárda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kisvárda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Videoton than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Videoton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kisvárda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Videoton - Kisvárda Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Videoton will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Kisvárda will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Videoton: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Toth B. (G) 33. Bese B. 14. Csongvai A. 31. Serafimov N. 44. Gergenyi B. 12. Flores D. 13. Kalmar Z. 77. Katona M. 70. Karamoko M. 19. Kodro K. 7. Schon S.	30. Petkovic D. (G) 14. Cipetic B. 24. Kovacic D. 3. Jovicic A. 42. Lippai T. 20. Navratil J. 10. Vida K. 8. Melnyk B. 6. Otvos B. 27. Mesanovic J. 7. Camaj D.
Substitutes
6. Bambock F. 9. Berki M. 20. Christensen T. 10. Kastrati L. 18. Kovacs B. 1. Kovacs D. (G) 3. Larsen K. 21. Pinto R. 42. Rockov E. (G) 27. Szabo L.	19. Alic E. 17. Balogh N. 40. Ilievski M. 18. Kormendi K. 1. Kovacs M. (G) 11. Lucas 9. Makowski R. 5. Nikolov B. 72. Simon M. 23. Szeles I. A.
Coaches
Grzelak B.	Matyus J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fehérvár won 2.

Recent matches Fehérvár is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kisvárda has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Kisvárda have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Fehérvár won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 32-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Fehérvár won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 25-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Videoton FC
Hungarian NB I
24.09.23	Videoton - Zalaegerszegi TE	3:3 ✺
Hungarian Cup
16.09.23	Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest - Videoton	1:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
02.09.23	Paksi SE - Videoton	2:0 ✺
27.08.23	Videoton - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry	2:0 ✺
18.08.23	Puskás Academy - Videoton	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLWT
- Kisvárda SE
Hungarian NB I
24.09.23	Ferencvárosi - Kisvárda	1:0 ✺
01.09.23	Ujpest - Kisvárda	3:2 ✺
26.08.23	Diósgyőri - Kisvárda	2:0 ✺
21.08.23	Debreceni - Kisvárda	4:1 ✺
11.08.23	MTK Budapest - Kisvárda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
16.04.23	Kisvárda - Videoton	0:0
13.11.22	Videoton - Kisvárda	4:1
28.08.22	Kisvárda - Videoton	3:1
02.04.22	Videoton - Kisvárda	5:3
05.12.21	Kisvárda - Videoton	2:1
21.08.21	Videoton - Kisvárda	2:1
04.04.21	Kisvárda - Videoton	0:0

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