Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 5

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lyse Arena (Stavanger) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nilsen O. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Norway	18:00	TV2 Play


	Viking Stavanger		Brann

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.1	4.2	Watch
	1.72	4.1	4.25	Watch
	1.76	4.44	4.2
	1.74	4.46	3.96	Watch
	1.7	4	4
	1.73	4.17	4.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.08)	4.21 ↑ (3.81)	4.15 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viking Stavanger
54.8%

Draw
22.4%

Brann
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.9%

25.1%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

24.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viking Stavanger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viking Stavanger's performance.

Brann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brann might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viking Stavanger than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viking Stavanger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brann than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brann could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	0%	10.5%

Viking Stavanger - Brann Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Viking (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Brann (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Viking Stavanger will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Belko L. (G) 5. Heggheim H. 6. Stensness G. 25. Falchener H. 28. Haugen K. 2. Haugen H. J. 7. Askildsen K. 8. Bell J. 10. Tripic Z. (C) 20. Christiansen P. 26. Kvia-Egeskog S.	1. Dyngeland M. (G) 21. De Roeve D. 3. Knudsen F. (C) 23. Pedersen T. 17. Soltvedt J. 16. Eriksen K. 18. Sorensen J. 8. Myhre F. 11. Finne B. 29. Holm N. 7. Thorsteinsson J.
Substitutes
24. Auklend V. 21. Baertelsen A. 18. Bjorshol S. 13. Escobar S. (G) 23. Fuglestad N. 33. Hansen J. 11. Mikaelsson H. 29. Moi T. 15. Visted O.	20. Dragsnes V. 32. Haaland M. 43. Holten R. 10. Ingason K. M. 14. Mathisen U. 26. Matondo R. 6. Mbacke D. 12. Nilsen S. (G) 25. Wassberg N.
Coaches
Aarsheim B.	Alexandersson F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Haugen K. ⚽, Falchener H. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Holm N. ⚽, Myhre F. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Heggheim H. ⚽, Tripic Z. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Thorsteinsson J. 🟨,
53', Heggheim H. 🟨,
55', Thorsteinsson J. ↓, Haaland M. ↑,
55', Finne B. ↓, Mathisen U. ↑,
57', Soltvedt J. (Penalty Awarded),
58', 2 - 2, Soltvedt J. ⚽, Mathisen U. (A),
62', Eriksen K. 🟨,
65', Haugen H. J. ↓, Fuglestad N. ↑,
70', Eriksen K. ↓, Ingason K. M. ↑,
85', Myhre F. 🟨,
86', Askildsen K. ↓, Hansen J. ↑,
86', Heggheim H. ↓, Bjorshol S. ↑,
89', Dyngeland M. 🟨,
90', 3 - 2, Bjorshol S. ⚽, Tripic Z. (A),
90+6', Pedersen T. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
90+7', Tripic Z. ↓, Baertelsen A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viking won 1.

Viking is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brann's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Viking has had a series of home games.

In this match, Viking is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Viking: Austbo E. (Groin Injury) Berisha V. (Leg Injury) Roseth M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Brann: Boakye N. (Knee Injury) Castro N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gudmundsson E. (Knee Injury) Magnusson S. (Knee Injury) Opsahl S. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Viking: Vevatne V. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brann: Torsvik J. (Groin Injury)

We predict that Viking will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Viking won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:24. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Viking won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Viking	24	19	2	3	62:23	39	59
9	Brann	24	9	2	13	42:40	2	29

Outrights of Norwegian Eliteserien for now

Viking: 61.61%

Last Results with these Odds

Viking Stavanger - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.91%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viking Stavanger FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
11.04.26	Viking Stavanger - Bodø Glimt	5:0 ✺
06.04.26	Vålerenga - Viking Stavanger	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.26	Viking Stavanger - Haugesund	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.03.26	Viking Stavanger - Molde	4:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
18.03.26	Viking Stavanger - Aalesunds	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWL
- SK Brann
Norwegian Eliteserien
12.04.26	Brann - Sandefjord	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Hamarkameratene - Brann	1:5 ✺
22.03.26	Brann - Tromsø	1:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
19.03.26	Bryne - Brann	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
15.03.26	Kristiansund - Brann	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
05.10.25	Viking Stavanger - Brann	3:0
13.07.25	Brann - Viking Stavanger	3:1
Club Friendly
14.02.25	Brann - Viking Stavanger	2:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
01.12.24	Brann - Viking Stavanger	1:1
14.04.24	Viking Stavanger - Brann	1:1
30.07.23	Brann - Viking Stavanger	0:2
24.06.23	Viking Stavanger - Brann	3:1

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