Match Info

Date: 25 September 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler		Pesch

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Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler
38.2%

Draw
22.9%

Pesch
38.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

23.1%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

23.3%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Pesch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pesch than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Viktoria Arnoldsweiler could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Viktoria Arnoldsweiler won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Viktoria Arnoldsweiler won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
18.09.22	Hennef 05 - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler	5:1 ✺
10.09.22	Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler - Bonner	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Hürth - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler - Eintracht Hohkeppel	0:2 ✺
21.08.22	Wegberg-Beeck - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTLL
- FC Pesch
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
18.09.22	Pesch - Siegburger	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Hennef 05 - Pesch	2:0 ✺
04.09.22	Pesch - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	6:0 ✺
27.08.22	Bonner - Pesch	5:0 ✺
21.08.22	Pesch - Glesch-Paffendorf	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLWLL

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
29.05.22	Pesch - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler	5:3
14.11.21	Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler - Pesch	1:0
04.10.20	Pesch - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler	4:5
15.09.19	Pesch - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler	3:2

Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler - Pesch