Match Info

Date: 26 August 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Vila Nova U23		Gremio U23

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	1.93
	4.15	3.35	1.75
	3.4	3.25	1.97
	3.57	3.21	2.09
	3.28	3.28	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (4.45)	3.27 ↓ (3.48)	1.96 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova U23
25.5%

Draw
27.9%

Gremio U23
46.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.5%

26.2%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

26.7%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Gremio U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gremio U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova U23 than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Nova U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gremio U23 than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gremio U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Vila Nova U23 - Gremio U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gremio U23 will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Gremio U23 is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vila Nova U23 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC U23
Brasileiro U23
11.08.22	Bragantino do Pará U23 - Vila Nova U23	2:1 ✺
04.08.22	Vila Nova U23 - Juventude U23	2:0 ✺
28.07.22	Vila Nova U23 - Ponte Preta U23	1:0 ✺
14.07.22	Ponte Preta U23 - Vila Nova U23	0:0 ✺
07.07.22	Juventude U23 - Vila Nova U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWTW
- Gremio U23
Brasileiro U23
11.08.22	Gremio U23 - Brasil de Pelotas U23	5:0 ✺
04.08.22	Vitória Salvador U23 - Gremio U23	0:2 ✺
28.07.22	Parana U23 - Gremio U23	3:1 ✺
13.07.22	Gremio U23 - Parana U23	2:0 ✺
07.07.22	Gremio U23 - Vitória Salvador U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U23
13.12.20	Vila Nova U23 - Gremio U23	1:2
10.12.20	Gremio U23 - Vila Nova U23	2:3

Vila Nova U23 - Gremio U23