Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 11

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Cruz do Reguengo (Vila Verde)


	Vilaverdense		Machico

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.1	4.15
	1.79	3.12	4.71
	1.79	3.16	4.61	Watch
	1.8	3	4.2
	1.8	3.08	4.55
	1.73	3.1	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.8)	3.09 ↓ (3.14)	4.5 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
50.6%

Draw
29.3%

Machico
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

28.7%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

27.5%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Machico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machico than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Vilaverdense - Machico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Vilaverdense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Machico has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Machico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vilaverdense is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
30.11.25	Brito - Vilaverdense	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Vilaverdense - Celoricense	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Vilaverdense - São Martinho	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Vianense - Vilaverdense	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vilaverdense - Tirsense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTLTW
- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
29.11.25	Machico - Camacha	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Bragança - Machico	4:1 ✺
02.11.25	Brito - Machico	3:2 ✺
26.10.25	Machico - São Martinho	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Machico - Limianos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Vilaverdense - Machico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide