The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa Valle 44.1%
Draw 26.1%
Tritium 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.8%
25.1%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.8%
24.2%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa Valle's form might have worsened.
Tritium has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tritium's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tritium than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tritium, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Villa Valle - Tritium Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Zuddas A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 1, Ravasi R. ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Valle won 2.
Villa Valle has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Tritium is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Tritium could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Villa Valle carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Villa Valle has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Villa Valle against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals (averaging 1:0 per game).
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