Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP C - ROUND 28

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Villafranca		Montebelluna

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.08	3.1	2.98
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.16	3.28	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.01)	3.2 (3.2)	3.06 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villafranca
42.7%

Draw
28%

Montebelluna
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

24%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Montebelluna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montebelluna than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Villafranca is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montebelluna has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Villafranca will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Villafranca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Villafranca
Italian Serie D - Group C
12.03.23	Portogruaro Summaga - Villafranca	1:3 ✺
05.03.23	Villafranca - Luparense	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Villafranca - Cjarlins Muzane	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Levico Terme - Villafranca	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Villafranca - Caldiero Terme	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLTL
- Calcio Montebelluna
Italian Serie D - Group C
12.03.23	Montebelluna - Torviscosa	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Portogruaro Summaga - Montebelluna	3:1 ✺
26.02.23	Montebelluna - Adriese	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Montebelluna - Union Clodiense	1:3 ✺
12.02.23	Montecchio Maggiore - Montebelluna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
13.11.22	Montebelluna - Villafranca	3:2
13.10.19	Montebelluna - Villafranca	0:0

Villafranca - Montebelluna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide