Match Info
ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP C - ROUND 17Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Villafranca |
|
Virtus Bolzano |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.45 |
3.2 |
2.5 |
|
 |
2.31 |
3.24 |
2.71 |
|
 |
2.62 |
3 |
2.4 |
|
 |
2.79 |
3.35 |
2.26 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(2.93) |
3.2 ↑
(3.09) |
2.47 ↑
(2.18) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Villafranca
35.4% | Draw
28.1% | Virtus Bolzano
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villafranca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Virtus Bolzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villafranca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bolzano than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Bolzano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out) and 1 in the zone Promotion). Villafranca is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Bolzano is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Bolzano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Bolzano will have a small advantage in this match.
Recently, the teams did not play each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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