Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Villarreal TV


	Villarreal C		Soneja

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	4.95
	1.68	3.61	4.73
	1.77	3.45	4.43	Watch
	1.67	3.3	4.75
	1.62	3.52	4.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.59)	3.46 ↓ (3.54)	4.77 ↓ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal C
54.5%

Draw
26.4%

Soneja
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25.7%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

24.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Soneja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal C than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Soneja than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Villarreal C - Soneja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Soneja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Villarreal C is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal C won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal C won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Villarreal C	5	4	0	1	8:4	4	12
16	Soneja	5	1	1	3	5:9	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
04.03.26	Español de San Vicente - Villarreal C	4:1 ✺
01.03.26	Buñol - Villarreal C	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Villarreal C - Utiel	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Vall de Uxó - Villarreal C	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Villarreal C - Alzira	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTWLW
- CD Soneja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
01.03.26	Soneja - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Crevillente Deportivo - Soneja	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Soneja - Buñol	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Utiel - Soneja	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Soneja - Vall de Uxó	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
25.10.25	Soneja - Villarreal C	1:1
13.04.25	Soneja - Villarreal C	0:1
01.12.24	Villarreal C - Soneja	4:1
10.03.24	Soneja - Villarreal C	1:1
21.10.23	Villarreal C - Soneja	0:1

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