Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Villegas		Berceo

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.55	1.65
	4.69	3.54	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↑ (4.59)	3.55 ↓ (3.57)	1.65 (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villegas
19.6%

Draw
25.5%

Berceo
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

25.4%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

25.1%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Berceo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villegas than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berceo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Villegas - Berceo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).

Villegas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Berceo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Berceo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Berceo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Villegas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.5:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Villegas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Villegas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
26.10.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Villegas	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Villegas - Oyonesa	0:3 ✺
12.10.25	Pradejón - Villegas	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Haro Deportivo - Villegas	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Villegas - Agoncillo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLLWT
- CD Berceo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
26.10.25	Berceo - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Comillas - Berceo	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Berceo - Vianés	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Arnedo - Berceo	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Berceo - San Marcial	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
21.03.21	Berceo - Villegas	3:0
20.12.20	Villegas - Berceo	0:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.02.18	Villegas - Berceo	1:4
08.10.17	Berceo - Villegas	2:1

Villegas - Berceo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide