Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BADEN-WÜRTTEMBERG - ROUND 12

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday


	Villingen		Backnang

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	4.33
	1.61	4.36	4.42
	1.56	4.3	4.4
	1.57	4.33	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.75)	4.33 ↑ (4.2)	4.37 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villingen
58%

Draw
21.1%

Backnang
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

21.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

22.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villingen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villingen's performance.

Backnang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Backnang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villingen than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Backnang than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Oberliga Play Offs and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villingen won 2.

Recent matches Villingen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Backnang is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Backnang could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Villingen is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Villingen won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Villingen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC 08 Villingen
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
03.10.23	Reutlingen - Villingen	0:3 ✺
22.09.23	Villingen - Offenburger	7:0 ✺
16.09.23	Ravensburg - Villingen	3:2 ✺
08.09.23	Villingen - Holzhausen	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Normannia Gmünd - Villingen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWL
- TSG Backnang 1919
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
30.09.23	Offenburger - Backnang	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Backnang - Ravensburg	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Holzhausen - Backnang	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	Nöttingen - Backnang	0:2 ✺
30.08.23	Backnang - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
08.04.23	Backnang - Villingen	3:3
17.09.22	Villingen - Backnang	4:0
14.04.22	Backnang - Villingen	4:2
25.09.21	Villingen - Backnang	2:0
10.10.20	Villingen - Backnang	1:2
01.12.18	Villingen - Backnang	0:0
11.08.18	Backnang - Villingen	1:1

Villingen - Backnang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide