Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Baden-Württemberg - Round 21

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday


	Villingen		Sonnenhof Großaspach

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.75	1.9
	3.11	4.2	2
	3.11	4.2	1.95
	3.18	3.84	1.98
	3.2	3.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.16)	3.95 ↑ (3.55)	1.95 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villingen
29.2%

Draw
23.4%

Sonnenhof Großaspach
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villingen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villingen's form might have worsened.

Sonnenhof Großaspach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sonnenhof Großaspach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villingen than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villingen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonnenhof Großaspach than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sonnenhof Großaspach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Liserra F. A. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Nyamsi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Sudwest and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Oberliga Play Offs).

Villingen in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Großaspach is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Großaspach will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Villingen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Villingen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC 08 Villingen
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
13.04.24	Villingen - Essingen	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Offenburger - Villingen	1:3 ✺
30.03.24	Villingen - Ravensburg	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Holzhausen - Villingen	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Villingen - Normannia Gmünd	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTWW
- Sonnenhof Großaspach
German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
12.04.24	Pforzheim - Sonnenhof Großaspach	0:3 ✺
07.04.24	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Oberachern	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Hollenbach - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:1 ✺
22.03.24	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Mutschelbach	5:1 ✺
16.03.24	Göppinger - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
26.08.23	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Villingen	4:2
06.05.23	Villingen - Sonnenhof Großaspach	3:1
22.10.22	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Villingen	2:0

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