Match Info
Serie D - Round 3Date: 18 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Salvador Venâncio da Costa (Vitoria)
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Vitória ES |
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Rio Branco AC ES |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.20 |
2.82 |
3.59 |
Watch |
 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
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 |
2.18 |
2.75 |
3.59 |
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 |
2.17 |
2.88 |
3.34 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.19 ↓ (2.55) |
2.81 ↑ (2.75) |
3.43 ↑ (2.9) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Vitória ES 41.4% | Draw 32.2% | Rio Branco AC ES 26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória ES's performance.Rio Branco AC ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (+4.2%)Vitória ES - Rio Branco AC ES Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Abuda ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória ES won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Vitória ES may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vitória ES won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 0.9:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Vitória ES won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;