Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 22

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Vitebsk)

Referee: Kurgheli A. (Blr)


	Vitebsk		Dinamo Minsk

	1	X	2
	4.59	3.6	1.6
	6.51	3.55	1.58	Watch
	5.4	3.6	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.5 ↑ (3.41)	3.58 ↑ (3.2)	1.6 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitebsk
16.7%

Draw
25.7%

Dinamo Minsk
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

29.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

29.4%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitebsk's form might have worsened.

Dinamo Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo Minsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitebsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo Minsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Vitebsk - Dinamo Minsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vitebsk will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Dinamo Minsk will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Minsk: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Minsk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gushchenko D. (G) 15. Kuntsevich M. 22. Egorov S. 23. Naumov N. (C) 27. Novykh E. 20. Krasnov E. 39. Girs D. 26. Tikhonovskiy S. 18. Skibskiy Y. 9. Teverov R. 14. Chervyakov Z.	22. Konovalov I. (G) 33. Ibrahim F. 67. Begunov R. (C) 26. Kalinin V. 18. Grechikho D. 24. Vakulich A. 19. Podstrelov D. 42. Abdullahi F. 6. Myakish M. 11. Djimet M. 17. Bakhar I.
Substitutes
4. Gorbachik V. 32. Kravchenko I. 80. Ksenofontov A. 7. Lisovskiy R. 5. Magloire E. 60. Novichkov I. (G) 77. Osipov M. 88. Pesnyak D. 37. Radikovskiy D. 3. Zhumaev V.	8. Chobanov R. 88. Demchenko N. 49. Denisyuk A. 4. Gavrilovich A. 7. Malashevich E. 21. Shevchenko E. 31. Shpakovskiy D. (G) 99. Tsepenkov K. 10. Vardanyan K.
Coaches
Razumov M.	Pavlov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 1 - 0, Skibskiy Y. ⚽, Krasnov E. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Bakhar I. ⚽,
38', 1 - 2, Djimet M. ⚽, Bakhar I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Bakhar I. ↓, Vardanyan K. ↑,
54', Grechikho D. ↓, Demchenko N. ↑,
56', Teverov R. ↓, Gorbachik V. ↑,
67', Djimet M. ↓, Malashevich E. ↑,
70', Krasnov E. ↓, Ksenofontov A. ↑,
70', Tikhonovskiy S. ↓, Zhumaev V. ↑,
80', Kuntsevich M. 🟨,
80', Chervyakov Z. ↓, Radikovskiy D. ↑,
81', Girs D. ↓, Pesnyak D. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitebsk won 1.

Vitebsk has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dinamo Minsk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Dinamo Minsk is the clear favorite.

We predict that Dinamo Minsk will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vitebsk won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitebsk won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
15.09.25	Gomel - Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Vitebsk - Molodechno	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Isloch Minsk - Vitebsk	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Naftan - Vitebsk	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Vitebsk - Minsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Dinamo Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
14.09.25	Minsk - Dinamo Minsk	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	BATE Borisov - Dinamo Minsk	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Dinamo Minsk - Slavia Mozyr	3:1 ✺
Belarusian Cup
19.08.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Dinamo Minsk	1:2 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
10.08.25	Dinamo Minsk - Torpedo-BelAZ	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
03.05.25	Dinamo Minsk - Vitebsk	2:1
20.09.24	Vitebsk - Dinamo Minsk	1:0
02.05.24	Dinamo Minsk - Vitebsk	1:1
08.10.22	Vitebsk - Dinamo Minsk	0:0
22.05.22	Dinamo Minsk - Vitebsk	2:1
24.07.21	Dinamo Minsk - Vitebsk	3:1
20.03.21	Vitebsk - Dinamo Minsk	0:0

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