Match Info

Prva Liga - FBiH - Round 21

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Vitez		Čelik Zenica

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.9
	3.5	3	2
	3.5	3.05	2
	3.79	3.07	1.87
	3.8	3.11	1.97	Watch
	3.6	2.9	1.95
	3.87	3.1	1.92
	3.1	2.8	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.15)	3.04 ↑ (2.92)	1.99 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitez
25.1%

Draw
29.7%

Čelik Zenica
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

30.8%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

30.1%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Čelik Zenica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitez than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Čelik Zenica than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Vitez - Čelik Zenica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Vardo H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 2, Sero N. ⚽,
89', 0 - 3, Masic A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ WWIN Liga BiH).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitez won 2.

Recent form of Vitez has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Čelik Zenica has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Čelik Zenica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Čelik Zenica will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Vitez won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitez won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	NK Vitez	8	1	3	4	5:11	-6	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Vitez
Bosnian Prva Liga FBiH
12.04.26	TOŠK Tešanj - Vitez	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Vitez - Jedinstvo Bihać	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Vitez - Igman Konjic	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Stupčanica Olovo - Vitez	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Vitez - Bratstvo Gračanica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTLWL
- Čelik Zenica
Bosnian Prva Liga FBiH
25.04.26	Čelik Zenica - Jedinstvo Bihać	5:0 ✺
19.04.26	Stupčanica Olovo - Čelik Zenica	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Čelik Zenica - Bratstvo Gračanica	3:3 ✺
04.04.26	Budućnost Banovići - Čelik Zenica	2:2 ✺
01.04.26	Čelik Zenica - Sloboda Tuzla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Prva Liga FBiH
11.10.25	Čelik Zenica - Vitez	3:1
Bosnian Premier League
12.05.18	Čelik Zenica - Vitez	0:1
09.04.18	Vitez - Čelik Zenica	0:4
17.02.18	Čelik Zenica - Vitez	1:0
16.09.17	Vitez - Čelik Zenica	2:0
06.05.17	Vitez - Čelik Zenica	0:2
05.04.17	Čelik Zenica - Vitez	1:0

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