Match Info

3. MSFL - Round 27

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Areal Vista (Ostrava)


	Vitkovice		Frýdek-Místek

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.3	1.95
	3.43	3.38	1.98
	3.46	3.24	2.02	Watch
	3.2	3.25	1.95
	3.49	3.34	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	3.3 ↑ (3.14)	1.97 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitkovice
26.7%

Draw
27.4%

Frýdek-Místek
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

29.2%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

29.2%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitkovice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Frýdek-Místek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitkovice than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frýdek-Místek than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Vitkovice - Frýdek Místek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keller T. (G) 17. Abdoulkarim M. 13. Alekseiciks K. 6. Danladi J. 8. Drozd J. 12. Jonathan J. 11. Kuzmanovic N. (C) 9. Malek M. 5. Ogbu E. 33. Ouly M. 19. Zastresek M.	29. Lasak K. (G) 15. Bialek D. 9. Dluhos D. 21. Foltyn M. 20. Gorcica A. 19. Hykel T. 8. Kedron D. 18. Mladek D. 14. Nemec D. 13. Obuch M. 5. Velner M. (C)
Substitutes
10. Antonin A. 15. Csorba D. 2. Galik J. 27. Graclik J. 30. Horinek N. (G) 14. Nieslanik T. 20. Rajcan F.	17. Bielan M. 10. Heller J. 11. Kohut T. 1. Martinak J. (G) 4. Massaniec J. 7. Neumann M. 3. Sami F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Hykel T. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 1 - 1, Ouly M. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Abdoulkarim M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', Drozd J. ↓, Nieslanik T. ↑,
69', 🟨,
69', Kedron D. ↓, Kohut T. ↑,
78', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
86', Malek M. ↓, Galik J. ↑,
86', Ouly M. ↓, Rajcan F. ↑,
87', 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitkovice won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Frýdek-Místek is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Vitkovice won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:17. (average 2.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitkovice won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:8. (average 4.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	FK Frydek-Mistek	11	6	3	2	19:10	9	21
7	Vitkovice	11	4	4	3	12:9	3	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Vitkovice
Czech MSFL
03.05.26	Uničov - Vitkovice	0:4 ✺
29.04.26	Unie Hlubina - Vitkovice	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Vitkovice - Polanka nad Odrou	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě - Vitkovice	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Vitkovice - Vsetín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTTTW
- FC Frýdek-Místek
Czech MSFL
03.05.26	Sigma Olomouc B - Frýdek-Místek	0:1 ✺
29.04.26	Start Brno - Frýdek-Místek	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Frýdek-Místek - Uničov	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Polanka nad Odrou - Frýdek-Místek	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Frýdek-Místek - Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Czech MSFL
04.10.25	Frýdek-Místek - Vitkovice	1:0
Czech Cup
21.08.24	Vitkovice - Frýdek-Místek	2:0
Czech MSFL
27.05.23	Frýdek-Místek - Vitkovice	0:0
29.10.22	Vitkovice - Frýdek-Místek	2:3
Club Friendly
20.05.20	Vitkovice - Frýdek-Místek	8:1
25.01.20	Vitkovice - Frýdek-Místek	6:2
Czech Division 2
12.05.18	Frýdek-Místek - Vitkovice	2:2

Vitkovice - Frýdek-Místek: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide