The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitkovice 60.9%
Draw 21.4%
Karviná B 17.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.6%
21.9%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
20.2%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitkovice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Karviná B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitkovice than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitkovice that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná B than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Vitkovice - Karviná B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Keller T. (C) 2. Galik J. 27. Graclik J. 18. Homann H. 33. Honig P. 12. Jonathan J. 10. Jurasek P. 3. Kamara O. 9. Malek M. 14. Nieslanik T. 7. Svach M.
1. Schovanec O. (G) 21. Avah M. 10. Daniel S. 4. Drobek O. 18. Fukala R. (C) 55. Konate F. 8. Kucak M. 9. Motycka D. 13. Sikora M. 7. Strnadel O. 19. Szostek P.
Substitutes
8. Drozd J. 16. Hloch M. 15. Klauco M. 11. Kuzmanovic N. 20. Mechl M. 30. Soucek T. (G) 19. Zajac D.
14. Aldin I. 6. Backman E. 25. Bujdak J. (G) 11. Griger A. 32. Kozik R. 17. Valosek V. 33. Wrana V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Sikora M. 🟨,
16', Galik J. 🟨,
40', Honig P. 🟨,
45+2', Keller T. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Drobek O. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Szostek P. ↓, Valosek V. ↑,
46', Penuel D. ↓, Aldin I. ↑,
46', Kamara O. ↓, Klauco M. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Aldin I. ⚽,
53', Svach M. ↓, Kuzmanovic N. ↑,
53', Malek M. ↓, Drozd J. ↑,
54', Jurasek P. ↓, Zajac D. ↑,
64', Strnadel O. 🟨,
69', 0 - 3, Konate F. ⚽,
69', Graclik J. ↓, Hloch M. ↑,
73', Konate F. ↓, Griger A. ↑,
73', Kucak M. ↓, Backman E. ↑,
76', Homann H. ↓, Mechl M. ↑,
78', 0 - 4, Valosek V. ⚽,
82', Strnadel O. ↓, Kozik R. ↑,
82', Sikora M. ↓, Wrana V. ↑,
85', Avah M. 🟨,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 7th and 14th).
In recent outings, Vitkovice has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Karviná B has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Karviná B has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Vitkovice carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Vitkovice has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:9 (averaging 1.6:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vitkovice against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 3:1.5 per game).