Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 21

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Vitoria Guimarães B		Rebordosa

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.2	4
	1.79	3.31	4.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.45)	3.26 ↓ (3.88)	4.22 ↓ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães B
50.7%

Draw
27.8%

Rebordosa
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

23.5%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

22.8%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitoria Guimarães B's form might have worsened.

Rebordosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rebordosa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitoria Guimarães B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rebordosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vitoria Guimarães B - Rebordosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Duarte D. P. (Pen),

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 5).

Guimarães B is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Rebordosa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Guimarães B is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guimarães B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.7:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
23.02.25	Os Sandinenses - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Paredes	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Limianos - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Dumiense	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Atlético dos Arcos - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWTWT
- Rebordosa AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
23.02.25	Rebordosa - Brito	3:4 ✺
16.02.25	Rebordosa - Os Sandinenses	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Paredes - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Rebordosa - Limianos	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Dumiense - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.11.24	Rebordosa - Vitoria Guimarães B	4:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.01.24	Vitoria Guimarães B - Rebordosa	2:0
26.08.23	Rebordosa - Vitoria Guimarães B	4:2

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