Match Info

Liga BPI Women - Round 15

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Academia Vitoria SC (Guimarães)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Vitoria Guimarães		Valadares Gaia

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.25
	3.13	3.04	2.29
	3.05	3.13	2.27	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.25
	3.01	3.22	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.59)	3.06 ↓ (3.52)	2.25 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães
30%

Draw
29.6%

Valadares Gaia
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

26.2%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

25.7%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Valadares Gaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valadares Gaia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valadares Gaia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vitoria Guimarães - Valadares Gaia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Sornpao T. (G) 5. Azevedo B. 13. Gravante M. 2. Kaminska D. 33. Fernandes P. 15. Turrentine J. 7. Foster M. 17. Marques V. 87. Gago M. 10. Betinha 42. Ribeiro M.	1. Alves C. (G) 30. Santos D. 27. Barge I. 4. Aniwaa L. 20. Duarte V. 77. Ferreira C. 10. Teles A. 6. Santos D. 7. Parkinson E. 11. Pereira E. 13. Martinez M.
Substitutes
19. Baleia M. 23. Brasil S. 24. Groves J. 25. Lopes I. 4. Maciel D. 11. Pocinho C. 71. Rocha A. (G) 80. Salgado M. 72. Ticha 76. Valyuk V.	78. Barbosa B. 16. Chauvet M. 42. Correia M. 9. Lakip J. 8. Luis L. 33. Mariale (G) 2. Monteiro S. 17. Silva I. 3. Stone M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Azevedo B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Ribeiro M. 🟨,
58', Aniwaa L. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Martinez M. ⚽,
61', Pereira E. ↓, Lakip J. ↑,
61', Ribeiro M. ↓, Valyuk V. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Kaminska D. ⚽, Turrentine J. (A),
82', Barge I. ↓, Stone M. ↑,
82', Santos D. ↓, Correia M. ↑,
83', Betinha ↓, Groves J. ↑,
86', Duarte V. 🟨,
90+1', Azevedo B. ↓, Pocinho C. ↑,
90+1', Foster M. ↓, Salgado M. ↑,
90+1', Teles A. ↓, Luis L. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 4).

Guimarães is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Valadares Gaia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Guimarães may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Guimarães has had a series of away games.

Valadares Gaia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Valadares Gaia W	3	1	0	2	2:4	-2	3
8	Vitoria Guimaraes W	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães Women
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
28.03.26	Damaiense - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal Women
18.03.26	Porto - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
13.03.26	Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Racing Power	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLTLL
- Valadares Gaia Women
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
28.03.26	Torreense - Valadares Gaia	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
21.03.26	Valadares Gaia - Racing Power	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Benfica - Valadares Gaia	2:2 ✺
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
11.03.26	Valadares Gaia - Sporting Lisbon	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
22.02.26	Valadares Gaia - Sporting Lisbon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga BPI Women
09.11.25	Valadares Gaia - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
19.10.25	Valadares Gaia - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0

Vitoria Guimarães - Valadares Gaia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide