Match Info

Campeonato Nacional U19 - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Vitoria Guimarães U19		Vizela U19

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.75	4.75
	1.69	3.71	4.15
	1.56	4.04	4.89
	1.53	3.6	4.8
	1.53	3.94	5.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)	3.81 ↑ (3.77)	4.75 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães U19
57.3%

Draw
23.7%

Vizela U19
19%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

24.2%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

22.8%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Vizela U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Vitoria Guimarães U19 aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela U19 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Vizela U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, ⚽,
34', 🟥,
45+1', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 3 - 1, ⚽,
58', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Guimarães U19 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vizela U19 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Guimarães U19 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Guimarães U19 is considered a favorite.

We predict that Guimarães U19 will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guimarães U19 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães U19 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
07.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Chaves U19	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Moreirense U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Vizela U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	3:4 ✺
04.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Braga U19	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWT
- Vizela U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
14.02.26	Chaves U19 - Vizela U19	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Moreirense U19 - Vizela U19	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Vizela U19 - Braga U19	1:8 ✺
10.01.26	Vizela U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	3:4 ✺
21.12.25	Vizela U19 - Porto U19	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
10.01.26	Vizela U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	3:4
04.10.25	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Vizela U19	0:2
27.01.24	Vizela U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	1:2
01.11.23	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Vizela U19	3:0

Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Vizela U19