Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato Nacional U19 - Relegation Group - Round 11

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Vitoria Setúbal U19		Beira-Mar U19

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.87
	3.5	3.5	1.9
	3.41	3.69	1.89
	3.5	3.65	1.92
	3.5	3.5	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.55)	3.55 ↑ (3.36)	1.9 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Setúbal U19
26.3%

Draw
25.7%

Beira-Mar U19
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Setúbal U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitoria Setúbal U19's form might have worsened.

Beira-Mar U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beira-Mar U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Setúbal U19 than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitoria Setúbal U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beira-Mar U19 than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beira-Mar U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Setúbal U19 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Setúbal U19 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
27.04.24	Alverca U19 - Vitoria Setúbal U19	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	Vitoria Setúbal U19 - Torreense U19	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Estoril U19 - Vitoria Setúbal U19	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Vitoria Setúbal U19 - Belenenses U19	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	SC Lusitânia U19 - Vitoria Setúbal U19	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWL
- Beira-Mar U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
27.04.24	Beira-Mar U19 - Belenenses U19	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	SC Lusitânia U19 - Beira-Mar U19	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Beira-Mar U19 - Académica Coimbra U19	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Estoril U19 - Beira-Mar U19	5:1 ✺
30.03.24	Beira-Mar U19 - Alverca U19	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
02.03.24	Beira-Mar U19 - Vitoria Setúbal U19	3:1
25.11.23	Vitoria Setúbal U19 - Beira-Mar U19	1:2

Vitoria Setúbal U19 - Beira-Mar U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide