Match Info

BRAZIL: Baiano - Round 5

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)


	Vitória Salvador		Jacobina

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	8.25
	1.26	5	7.8
	1.28	5.03	8.46
	1.3	4.82	8.83	Watch
	1.18	5.4	11
	1.3	4.6	9.15
	1.26	5	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.19)	5.05 ↓ (5.29)	8.76 ↓ (12.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
71.7%

Draw
17.9%

Jacobina
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.7%

17.1%

7.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Jacobina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Vitória Salvador - Jacobina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 21. Baralhas 20. Bruno Xavier 19. Carlos Eduardo 13. Claudinho 14. Dionisio 23. Fabricio 16. Hugo 4. Kauan 10. Pablo 3. Ze Marcos (C)	1. Nilton (G) 10. Aleff 2. Anderson Bandeira 5. Bruno Henrique 9. Bruno Nunes 8. Guilherme Ivo 3. Hugo (C) 7. Ruan Costa 4. Victor Ramon 11. Vitor Santos 6. Zeca
Substitutes
24. Davi 8. Edenilson 15. Emerson Buiu 12. Fintelman (G) 5. Leo Naldi . Luis Miguel 7. Matheuzinho 11. Osvaldo 17. Thiaguinho 6. Val Soares	13. Caio 12. Erick (G) 18. Gabriel Nereia 16. Marquinho 15. Puca 14. Roni Santos 19. Wellington Alves

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Bruno Xavier ⚽,
20', Aleff ↓, Gabriel Nereia ↑,
27', Zeca 🟨,
43', Hugo ↓, Roni Santos ↑,
45', Carlos Eduardo 🟨,
45+4', Victor Ramon 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Gabriel Nereia ↓, Wellington Alves ↑,
46', Fabricio ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
48', Bruno Henrique 🟨,
59', 2 - 0, Fabricio ⚽,
61', Bruno Xavier ↓, Emerson Buiu ↑,
62', Pablo ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
68', Kauan ↓, Edenilson ↑,
68', Baralhas ↓, Val Soares ↑,
77', 🟨,
81', Bruno Henrique ↓, Marquinho ↑,
81', Ruan Costa ↓, Caio ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Claudinho ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 0, Matheuzinho ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Baiano 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 4.

Vitória is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jacobina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vitória is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Vitória won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:4 (average 2:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
25.01.25	Colo Colo de Ilhéus - Vitória Salvador	1:4 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.01.25	CRB Maceio - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
19.01.25	Vitória Salvador - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
15.01.25	Juazeirense - Vitória Salvador	1:4 ✺
11.01.25	Vitória Salvador - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTTWT
- Jacobina EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
22.01.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jacobina	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Jacobina - Bahia	1:1 ✺
16.01.25	Jacobina - Jacuipense	0:1 ✺
11.01.25	Porto SC - Jacobina	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Jacobina - Jequié	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
07.02.24	Jacobina - Vitória Salvador	0:0
22.01.20	Vitória Salvador - Jacobina	1:0
27.01.19	Jacobina - Vitória Salvador	1:2
04.03.18	Vitória Salvador - Jacobina	2:1
26.03.17	Jacobina - Vitória Salvador	1:4
21.02.16	Vitória Salvador - Jacobina	3:1

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