Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group A - Round 17

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday


	Vogherese		Albenga

	1	X	2
	1.39	4	7.6
	1.36	4.22	8.59	Watch
	1.32	4.3	9.2
	1.39	4	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.6)	4.13 ↑ (3.53)	8.25 ↑ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vogherese
66.8%

Draw
22.1%

Albenga
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

25.8%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

23.4%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vogherese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vogherese's performance.

Albenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Albenga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vogherese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albenga than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Albenga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vogherese - Albenga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, La Vecchia G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, ⚽,
79', 3 - 0, Monza E. ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, Ennasry A. ⚽,
84', 4 - 1, Cappadonna A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 14).

Recent matches Vogherese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Albenga is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Vogherese is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vogherese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1.5:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Vogherese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVC Vogherese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
01.12.24	Gozzano - Vogherese	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Vogherese - Cairese	3:0 ✺
17.11.24	Chieri - Vogherese	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Vogherese - Bra	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Vogherese - Chisola	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LWLWL
- US Albenga
Italian Serie D - Group A
01.12.24	Cairese - Albenga	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Albenga - Oltrepo	1:4 ✺
30.10.24	Albenga - Chieri	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Lavagnese - Albenga	8:0 ✺
13.10.24	Vado - Albenga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
21.04.24	Vogherese - Albenga	2:2
10.12.23	Albenga - Vogherese	4:1

Vogherese - Albenga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide