Match Info
Serie D - Group B - Round 11Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Vogherese |
|
Leon |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.98 |
2.72 |
|
 |
2.67 |
2.81 |
2.67 |
|
 |
2.10 |
3.31 |
3.18 |
 Watch |
 |
2.68 |
3.26 |
2.57 |
|
 |
2.1 |
3.3 |
3.15 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2) |
3.13 ↓
(3.3) |
2.86 ↓
(3.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Vogherese
38.4% | Draw
29.4% | Leon
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vogherese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vogherese's form might have worsened.Leon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vogherese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leon than the current prediction. (-4.3%)Vogherese - Leon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, Palma M. (Pen),
- 27', 1 - 1, Bonseri M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 69', 1 - 2, Ferre J. ⚽,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Mascheroni S. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 11).Recent performances by Vogherese have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Leon is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Vogherese will hold a modest advantage in this match. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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