Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 22

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Volna Kovernino		Akron Tolyatti 2

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	4.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)	3.5 ↑ (3.42)	4.49 ↑ (4.38)

The best margin for this event is 12.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volna Kovernino
54.7%

Draw
25.5%

Akron Tolyatti 2
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

25.6%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

25.9%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volna Kovernino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Akron Tolyatti 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volna Kovernino than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti 2 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Smirnov O. (G) 4. Abramov A. 6. Chibisov S. 78. Mukhin E. 7. Mutaliev A. 98. Pozdnyakov E. 99. Savitskiy I. 12. Saygushev V. 90. Severyanov I. 30. Volkov A. 8. Zabotkin M.	95. Grigorjev A. (G) 69. Dmitriev A. 57. Kachura S. 33. Kholodov M. 63. Kuzmenko T. 90. Morozov A. 67. Platon N. 55. Popov A. 74. Santalov V. 87. Shershov N. 75. Vinnikov V.
Substitutes
51. Alekseev E. (G) 33. Chaligava A. 2. Chechetkin D. 77. Kostyukov M. 97. Kotelnikov D. 1. Migunov I. (G) 88. Shamaev K. 17. Shcherbin R. 22. Sokolov B. 18. Volkov O. 11. Voronov D.	62. Batyrbiy C. 88. Bitel D. 85. Kondakov M. 64. Pavlenko F. 96. Postrigan V. (G) 8. Teryaev D. 65. Zelenov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Morozov A. ⚽,
27', Mutaliev A. 🟨,
34', Volkov A. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Severyanov I. ⚽,
41', Santalov V. 🟨,
44', Shershov N. 🟨,
44', Mukhin E. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Mukhin E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Dmitriev A. ↓, Zelenov S. ↑,
57', Kuzmenko T. 🟨,
58', 3 - 1, Severyanov I. ⚽,
66', Mutaliev A. ↓, Volkov O. ↑,
71', Shershov N. ↓, Kondakov M. ↑,
71', Morozov A. ↓, Teryaev D. ↑,
73', 4 - 1, Zabotkin M. ⚽,
77', Abramov A. ↓, Voronov D. ↑,
77', Mukhin E. ↓, Kostyukov M. ↑,
83', 4 - 2, Zelenov S. ⚽,
85', Pozdnyakov E. 🟨,
86', Volkov O. 🟨,
88', Saygushev V. ↓, Shcherbin R. ↑,
88', Zabotkin M. ↓, Chaligava A. ↑,
89', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Volna Kovernino has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Akron 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Volna Kovernino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Volna Kovernino is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Volna Kovernino won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Volna Kovernino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volna Kovernino
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
14.09.25	Volna Kovernino - KDV Tomsk	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
10.09.25	Volna Kovernino - Tyumen	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
07.09.25	Orenburg-2 - Volna Kovernino	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Volna Kovernino - Chelyabinsk 2	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Dynamo Barnaul - Volna Kovernino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWLLL
- Akron Tolyatti 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
14.09.25	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	KDV Tomsk - Akron Tolyatti 2	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Rubin 2 Kazan	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Orenburg-2 - Akron Tolyatti 2	3:2 ✺
18.08.25	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 57 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
14.06.25	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Volna Kovernino	0:0
24.08.24	Volna Kovernino - Akron Tolyatti 2	3:2

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