Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 14

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Volta Redonda		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	4.2	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.4
	2.17	2.97	4.3
	2.3	2.8	3.6
	2.07	2.97	4	Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.2)	2.92 ↓ (2.95)	3.79 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volta Redonda
43.1%

Draw
32.2%

Operário Ferroviario
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.8%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

26.5%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volta Redonda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Operário Ferroviario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	83.3%	0%

Volta Redonda - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Volta Redonda will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Operário PR (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Operário PR (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Operário PR (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Operário Ferroviario will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Volta Redonda (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Operário PR (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Jean Drosny (G) 6. Sanchez 26. Gabriel Bahia 5. Bruno Barra (C) 2. Wellington Silva 20. Pierre 16. Rai 28. Andre Luiz 17. Vitinho Lopes 11. MV 9. Italo	33. Vagner (G) 2. Diogo Mateus 90. Cristiano 8. Zuluaga J. 30. Joseph 16. Miranda 70. Pedro Lucas 88. Neto Paraiba 9. Vinicius Mingotti 10. Boschilia (C) 7. Rodrigo Rodrigues
Substitutes
1. Avelino (G) 14. Chay 15. Dener 21. Henrique Silva 29. Hyuri 13. Jhonny 22. Juninho Monteiro 27. Leo Ceara 4. Lucas Ramires 25. Lucas Tocantins 23. Matheus Lucas 8. Robinho	99. Ademilson 27. Gabriel Feliciano 18. Gabriel Souza 4. Giraldo J. 5. Indio 17. Jhemerson 36. Nilson Junior 97. Ronald 12. Talles (G) 72. Thales Oleques 13. Thiaguinho
Coaches
Rogerio Correa	Alex

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Pedro Lucas 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Ademilson ↑,
59', Pedro Lucas ↓, Jhemerson ↑,
65', Andre Luiz ↓, Robinho ↑,
65', Vitinho Lopes ↓, Lucas Tocantins ↑,
69', Miranda 🟨,
71', Italo ↓, Matheus Lucas ↑,
74', Neto Paraiba ↓, Indio ↑,
74', Vinicius Mingotti ↓, Ronald ↑,
75', MV 🟨,
75', Wellington Silva ↓, Jhonny ↑,
75', Rai ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
76', Diogo Mateus 🟨,
81', 1 - 0, Gabriel Bahia ⚽, Leo Ceara (A),
83', Diogo Mateus ↓, Gabriel Souza ↑,
90+1', Gabriel Souza 🟨,
90+7', Zuluaga J. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 14).

Volta Redonda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Operário PR has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Volta Redonda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Volta Redonda will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Volta Redonda: Caio Roque (Inactive) Dener (Inactive) Du Fernandes (Inactive) Fabricio (Inactive) Gabriel Pinheiro (Yellow Cards) Lucas Tocantins (Injury) Marquinhos (Inactive) PK (Red Card)

There will not play in Operário PR: Ademilson (Injury) Daniel Amorim (Inactive) Elias Curzel (Inactive) Filipe Claudino (Inactive) Fransergio (Inactive) Indio (Injury) Jean Lucas (Injury)

There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Gabriel Bahia (Injury) Lucas Adell (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Volta Redonda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie B
22.06.25	Atlético Goianiense - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Volta Redonda - Avaí	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Goiás - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Volta Redonda - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Remo - Volta Redonda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTLWT
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
23.06.25	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Athletic Club - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
08.06.25	Remo - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Operário Ferroviario - Athletico Paranaense	2:2 ✺
25.05.25	Amazonas - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
12.08.23	Volta Redonda - Operário Ferroviario	1:1
16.06.18	Volta Redonda - Operário Ferroviario	0:1
15.04.18	Operário Ferroviario - Volta Redonda	1:0

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