Match Info

Date: 12 September 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Vorskla Poltava		Desna Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3
	2.2	3.3	2.9
	2.14	3.1	3.1
	2.26	3.25	3.39
	2.2	3.2	3.2
	2.21	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.26)	3.28 ↓ (3.36)	3.12 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vorskla Poltava
41.9%

Draw
28.3%

Desna Chernihiv
29.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

27.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

19.1%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vorskla Poltava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Desna Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vorskla Poltava than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vorskla Poltava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desna Chernihiv than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Desna Chernihiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vorskla Poltava - Desna Chernihiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 5).

Vorskla is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Desna is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vorskla will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Vorskla won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Vorskla won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Premier League
29.08.21	Zorya Luhansk - Vorskla Poltava	1:0 ✺
20.08.21	Vorskla Poltava - Kharkiv	2:0 ✺
14.08.21	Veres Rivne - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
08.08.21	Vorskla Poltava - Lviv	4:1 ✺
01.08.21	Vorskla Poltava - Rukh Lviv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTWW
- Desna Chernihiv
Ukrainian Premier League
29.08.21	Desna Chernihiv - Veres Rivne	0:4 ✺
22.08.21	Dynamo Kyiv - Desna Chernihiv	4:0 ✺
14.08.21	Desna Chernihiv - Dnipro-1	2:1 ✺
09.08.21	Desna Chernihiv - Inhulets	2:0 ✺
01.08.21	Mariupol - Desna Chernihiv	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
05.05.21	Vorskla Poltava - Desna Chernihiv	1:1
06.12.20	Desna Chernihiv - Vorskla Poltava	1:0
Ukrainian Cup
12.03.20	Desna Chernihiv - Vorskla Poltava	0:1
Ukrainian Premier League
02.11.19	Vorskla Poltava - Desna Chernihiv	0:1
03.08.19	Desna Chernihiv - Vorskla Poltava	2:0
21.05.19	Desna Chernihiv - Vorskla Poltava	0:1
23.04.19	Vorskla Poltava - Desna Chernihiv	3:3

Vorskla Poltava - Desna Chernihiv

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Vorskla Poltava - Desna Chernihiv Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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