Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Votuporanguense		Marília

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.54	2.91	2.67
	2.54	2.91	2.67
	2.25	3.2	2.8
	2.49	3.06	2.64
	2.35	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.3)	3.06 ↓ (3.08)	2.71 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Votuporanguense
37.3%

Draw
29.4%

Marília
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29.6%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

29.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Votuporanguense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Marília has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Votuporanguense than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marília than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Votuporanguense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Marília is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Votuporanguense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Votuporanguense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
30.03.24	Marília - Votuporanguense	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Marília - Votuporanguense	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Votuporanguense - Lemense FC	3:1 ✺
13.03.24	Desportivo Brasil - Votuporanguense	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Votuporanguense - Catanduva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTWWW
- Marília AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
30.03.24	Marília - Votuporanguense	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Marília - Votuporanguense	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Catanduva - Marília	1:1 ✺
13.03.24	Marília - Red Bull Bragantino II	0:1 ✺
08.03.24	EC São Bernardo - Marília	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
30.03.24	Marília - Votuporanguense	2:1
23.03.24	Marília - Votuporanguense	0:0

Votuporanguense - Marília: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide