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Current Win Probability
Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě 40.6%
Draw 25.2%
Unie Hlubina 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
24.7%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
23.6%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě's performance.
Unie Hlubina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unie Hlubina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unie Hlubina than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unie Hlubina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě - Unie Hlubina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Smida P. (C) 3. Baca D. 21. Duda P. 5. Egwu O. 16. Franek T. 14. Jicha M. 7. Necas F. 18. Novotny J. 10. Stocek P. 8. Sytar P. 6. Voprsal M.
25. Fabisz A. (G) 20. Bednar A. 5. Celta Z. 10. Dostal R. 22. Fabianek J. 23. Jurcak O. 6. Nevrela J. (C) 2. Pribylka P. 18. Skopal D. 4. Smolka S. 9. Vladar M.
Substitutes
9. Bouchner D. 15. Duba T. 4. Dvorak M. 19. Hudak K. 29. Micka J. (G) 17. Pulkrabek M.
15. Berek D. 17. Gancarczyk N. 12. Janjus T. 19. Obdrzalek J. 1. Preisner T. (G) 13. Tomecek L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
29', Baca D. 🟨,
31', Vladar M. ↓, Tomecek L. ↑,
40', 1 - 0, Duda P. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Dostal R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Duda P. ⚽, Necas F. (A),
61', Voprsal M. ↓, Duba T. ↑,
61', Baca D. ↓, Dvorak M. ↑,
63', Fabianek J. ↓, Obdrzalek J. ↑,
71', Stocek P. ↓, Bouchner D. ↑,
71', Jicha M. ↓, Hudak K. ↑,
79', Franek T. ↓, Pulkrabek M. ↑,
82', Pribylka P. ↓, Janjus T. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Bouchner D. ⚽,
86', Jurcak O. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 2, Jurcak O. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 13th and 7th).
Vrchovina is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Unie Hlubina has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Vrchovina has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vrchovina against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Hlubina
11
4
3
4
26:22
4
15
13
Nove Mesto na Morave
11
4
2
5
13:20
-7
14
Last Results with these Odds
Unie Hlubina - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.21%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Smida P. (C) 
Egwu O. 
Gancarczyk N. 
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