Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA WESTFALEN - ROUND 24

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Vreden		Sportfreunde Lotte

	1	X	2
	5	4.33	1.5
	5.76	4.37	1.49
	5.76	4.37	1.5
	5.25	4.25	1.49
	5	4.33	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.35 ↓ (6.85)	4.33 ↓ (4.81)	1.5 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vreden
17.2%

Draw
21.3%

Sportfreunde Lotte
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

19.1%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

19.4%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vreden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Sportfreunde Lotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportfreunde Lotte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vreden than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportfreunde Lotte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Ostenkotter N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 1 - 1, Dogan H. C. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga West).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

SF Lotte could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match SF Lotte is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vreden won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Vreden won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Vreden
German Oberliga Westfalen
17.03.24	Preußen Münster 2 - Vreden	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Vreden - TSG Sprockhövel	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Siegen - Vreden	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Vreden - Erkenschwick	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Vreden - Brünninghausen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLLW
- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Oberliga Westfalen
16.03.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Finnentrop Bamenohl	4:1 ✺
10.03.24	Gievenbeck - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Türkspor Dortmund	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Eintracht Rheine - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Victoria Clarholz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Westfalen
23.09.23	Sportfreunde Lotte - Vreden	3:2
02.04.23	Vreden - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1
02.10.22	Sportfreunde Lotte - Vreden	4:0

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