The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vänersborgs FK 40.6%
Draw 25.9%
Tord 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
26.3%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
23.5%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vänersborgs FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Tord has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vänersborgs FK than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vänersborgs FK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tord than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Vänersborgs FK - Tord Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
(1 - 2)
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 7th and 12th in the Division 2 ~ Norra Gu00f6taland (Relegation)).
Vänersborgs FK is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Tord has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Vänersborgs FK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Vänersborgs FK has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vänersborgs FK against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.