Match Info

SWEDEN: Allsvenskan - Round 5

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Hitachi Energy Arena (Vasteras)

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	Västerås SK		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.5
	2.26	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.17	3.42	3.67
	2.15	3.42	3.62
	2.05	3.25	3.3
	2.16	3.36	3.44	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.55)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	3.45 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Västerås SK
44.2%

Draw
28.3%

Mjällby
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

30%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Västerås SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Västerås SK's performance.

Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mjällby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Västerås SK than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	15.4%	38.5%

Västerås SK - Mjällby Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Västerås SK will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Mjällby will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Västerås SK: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Brattberg J. (G) 2. Magnusson H. 18. Nsabiyumva F. 3. Douglas A. 11. Gefvert S. 22. Aslund P. 7. Ribeiro P. 44. Larsson M. 6. Johansson S. (C) 9. Ali J. 20. Offia H.	35. Lundin A. (G) 11. Stahl A. 3. Brorsson A. 13. Kiilerich J. 14. Johansson H. 10. Rojkjaer N. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 16. Johansson A. 7. Gustafson V. 18. Bergstrom J. 6. Jagne I.
Substitutes
8. Ahlinvi M. 21. Coulibaly A. 17. Diabate I. 1. Fagerstrom A. (G) 31. Jonsson I. 24. Linday M. 19. Magnusson J. 23. Marques M. 29. Thongla-Iad Warneryd A.	23. Akesson Linderoth F. 29. Johnsson I. 28. Lindberg V. 26. Nennesson K. 31. Nwankwo S. 20. Persson J. 15. Svensson L. 27. Tidstrand L. 1. Tornqvist N. (G)
Coaches
Karlsson K.	Torstensson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Bergstrom J. ⚽, Stahl A. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Offia H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ribeiro P. ↓, Linday M. ↑,
54', Gustafson V. ↓, Nwankwo S. ↑,
65', Ali J. ↓, Diabate I. ↑,
65', Offia H. ↓, Ahlinvi M. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Diabate I. ⚽,
78', Johansson S. ↓, Marques M. ↑,
90', Aslund P. ↓, Jonsson I. ↑,
90', Ahlinvi M. 🟨,
90+2', Jagne I. ↓, Akesson Linderoth F. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 6).

Västerås SK has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mjällby is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Västerås SK will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Mjällby: Petersson A. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Västerås SK won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Västerås SK won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Västerås SK FK
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.04.24	Malmö - Västerås SK	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Västerås SK - Halmstad	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Västerås SK - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
01.04.24	AIK - Västerås SK	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.03.24	Västerås SK - Örebro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.04.24	GAIS - Mjällby	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Mjällby - AIK	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Mjällby - Norrköping	3:0 ✺
31.03.24	Häcken - Mjällby	0:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
09.03.24	Mjällby - AIK	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
25.02.24	Mjällby - Västerås SK	2:0
Swedish Superettan
19.10.19	Västerås SK - Mjällby	2:2
13.04.19	Mjällby - Västerås SK	2:1

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