Match Info

Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Våg		Flekkerøy

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.95	1.95
	2.72	4.13	1.94
	2.73	4.67	1.98	Watch
	2.9	3.7	1.95
	3.04	4.05	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.59)	4.1 ↓ (4.56)	1.94 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Våg
31.5%

Draw
22%

Flekkerøy
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

20.2%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

19.7%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Våg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Våg's performance.

Flekkerøy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flekkerøy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Våg than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Våg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flekkerøy than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flekkerøy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Våg - Flekkerøy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', 0 - 1, Mertens R. ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 2, Grude J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 4).

In recent matches, Våg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Flekkerøy is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Våg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Flekkerøy is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Flekkeroy	22	12	3	7	45:36	9	39
9	Vag	22	9	2	11	35:38	-3	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Våg FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
10.05.26	Brodd - Våg	4:1 ✺
02.05.26	Våg - Haugesund 2	2:4 ✺
25.04.26	Madla - Våg	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Våg - Hinna	3:0 ✺
07.04.26	Våg - Vindbjart	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLLWW
- Flekkerøy
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
11.05.26	Flekkerøy - Stabæk 2	6:0 ✺
01.05.26	Varhaug - Flekkerøy	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Flekkerøy - Mandalskameratene	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Brodd - Flekkerøy	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Flekkerøy - Viking 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWLW

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