Match Info

Toppserien Women - Round 18

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)

Referee: Jensen S. M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay


	Vålerenga		Rosenborg

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.60	2.50
	2.12	3.35	2.85
	2.44	3.90	2.52
	2.22	3.76	2.71	Watch
	2.35	3.65	2.50
	2.48	3.65	2.55	Watch
	2.18	3.55	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.58)	3.64 ↓ (3.95)	2.61 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga
40%

Draw
25.1%

Rosenborg
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

22.5%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

21.3%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vålerenga's form might have worsened.

Rosenborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rosenborg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+19.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vålerenga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rosenborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vålerenga - Rosenborg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Birkisdottir F. (G) 2. Horte S. 28. Eiriksdottir A. 6. Eckhoff N. 14. Kosola K. 10. Lowry H. 22. Enger T. 30. Brekken S. 23. Hegg E. (C) 16. Arnesen R. 7. Inauen N.	1. Rulyte R. (G) 44. Svanes K. 31. Buberg A. 4. Aunehaugen S. (C) 30. Matre M. 22. Nilsen C. 8. Nyberg A. 14. Fuglem O. 16. Berre I. 10. Reeves J. 23. Sodahl K.
Substitutes
36. Balmforth L. 27. Klech L. 18. Lundorf M. 31. Petersson L. (G) 5. Pettersen S. 11. Preus M.	6. Dirdal I. 19. Holum R. 15. Marcussen B. 11. Nergard C. 7. Rogde M. 12. Sand T. (G) 25. Vik M.
Coaches
Lexerod N.	Shroot R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Brekken S. ⚽, Hegg E. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Reeves J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lowry H. ↓, Preus M. ↑,
65', Svanes K. ↓, Dirdal I. ↑,
65', Nilsen C. ↓, Rogde M. ↑,
73', Eckhoff N. ↓, Pettersen S. ↑,
74', Berre I. ↓, Holum R. ↑,
74', Sodahl K. ↓, Vik M. ↑,
76', Inauen N. ↓, Klech L. ↑,
77', Fuglem O. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th and 3rd in the Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 3.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vålerenga has recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:23 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vålerenga against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 15:4 goals (averaging 2.1:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Rosenborg W	18	11	5	2	33:20	13	38
4	Valerenga W	18	11	2	5	46:25	21	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga Fotball Damer
UEFA Europa Cup Women
30.09.26	Vålerenga - Feyenoord	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Toppserien Women
26.09.26	Molde - Vålerenga	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
23.09.26	Feyenoord - Vålerenga	4:1 ✺
Norwegian Toppserien Women
17.09.26	Vålerenga - Haugesund	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Røa - Vålerenga	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWW
- Rosenborg Women
UEFA Europa Cup Women
30.09.26	Rosenborg - Slovan Liberec	4:1 ✺
Norwegian Toppserien Women
26.09.26	Rosenborg - Fortuna Ålesund	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
23.09.26	Slovan Liberec - Rosenborg	3:1 ✺
Norwegian Toppserien Women
17.09.26	Rosenborg - Stabæk	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Haugesund - Rosenborg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Toppserien Women
20.06.26	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	3:2
Norwegian Cup Women
23.11.25	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	0:2
Norwegian Toppserien Women
07.11.25	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	1:3
15.05.25	Vålerenga - Rosenborg	2:0
16.04.25	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	2:0
Norwegian Cup Women
24.11.24	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	0:1
Norwegian Toppserien Women
09.08.24	Vålerenga - Rosenborg	3:1

Vålerenga - Rosenborg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide