Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 2 - Round 20

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Vålerenga 2		Junkeren

	1	X	2
	5	5	1.41
	4.1	5.04	1.38
	5.41	5.59	1.43	Watch
	4.33	5.5	1.44
	5.44	5.05	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↑ (1.81)	5.24 ↑ (4.06)	1.41 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga 2
18.6%

Draw
17.3%

Junkeren
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

22.8%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

21.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-32.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vålerenga 2's form might have worsened.

Junkeren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+38.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Junkeren's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga 2 than the current prediction. (+29.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vålerenga 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junkeren than the current prediction. (-36.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Junkeren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	0%	93.7%

Vålerenga 2 - Junkeren Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Vålerenga 2 will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Junkeren will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Junkeren: 82% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Strom U. (G) 14. Eie B. 6. Fisher M. 36. Granli J. (C) 17. Mo H. 4. Naustvik F. 26. Opsahl G. 29. Saheim C. 2. Samson H. 3. Udovicic N. 11. Usman T.	1. Acosta A. (G) 4. Bamijoko A. 10. Chooly S. 7. Hagen A. 11. Hansen M. 28. Lauritzen M. J. 21. Lekang I. 3. Myrseth H. (C) 20. Skarn-Johansen F. 9. Tjaland A. 77. Unhjem I.
Substitutes
24. El Fezani M. 15. Etholm H. 8. Fadil W. 5. Kerdoe M. 19. Ordal A. 7. Pajic E.	14. Lien L. 29. Rengard T. 18. Sletten A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
3', 0 - 1, Tjaland A. ⚽,
5', Udovicic N. 🟨,
35', 0 - 2, Hansen M. ⚽,
39', 0 - 3, Granli J. (Own goal),
44', 0 - 4, Myrseth H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', Udovicic N. ↓, Kerdoe M. ↑,
61', Mo H. ↓, Pajic E. ↑,
61', Usman T. ↓, Fadil W. ↑,
63', Skarn-Johansen F. ↓, Rengard T. ↑,
63', Eie B. 🟨,
70', Hagen A. ↓, Sletten A. ↑,
70', Lekang I. ↓, Lien L. ↑,
72', 0 - 5, Lien L. ⚽,
76', Opsahl G. ↓, Etholm H. ↑,
78', 1 - 5, Saheim C. ⚽,
82', Fisher M. 🟨,
86', 2 - 5, Samson H. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Vålerenga 2 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Junkeren is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Junkeren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vålerenga 2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vålerenga 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
02.09.24	Tromsdalen - Vålerenga 2	3:0 ✺
25.08.24	Vålerenga 2 - Ullensaker Kisa	2:4 ✺
19.08.24	Skeid - Vålerenga 2	3:1 ✺
12.08.24	Vålerenga 2 - Kjelsås	1:0 ✺
04.08.24	Follo - Vålerenga 2	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.2 LLLWW
- IK Junkeren
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
31.08.24	Junkeren - Gjøvik-Lyn	3:0 ✺
25.08.24	Junkeren - Tromsdalen	2:3 ✺
18.08.24	Follo - Junkeren	3:2 ✺
11.08.24	Junkeren - Strømmen	0:0 ✺
04.08.24	Ullensaker Kisa - Junkeren	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
24.06.24	Junkeren - Vålerenga 2	2:0

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