Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday


	Vålerenga 2		Moss

	1	X	2
	3.3	4.2	1.75
	3.5	4	1.75
	3.6	3.9	1.74
	3.68	4.26	1.79
	3.6	3.9	1.72
	3.6	4.25	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.41)	4.09 ↑ (4.09)	1.75 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga 2
25.7%

Draw
22.3%

Moss
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

22.3%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

18.2%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Moss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga 2 than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moss than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moss could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vålerenga 2 - Moss Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 and 10).

Vålerenga 2 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Moss is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vålerenga 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Moss will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vålerenga 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vålerenga 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.11.21	Bærum - Vålerenga 2	2:2 ✺
01.11.21	Vålerenga 2 - Alta	2:3 ✺
25.10.21	Hødd - Vålerenga 2	7:1 ✺
18.10.21	Senja - Vålerenga 2	1:0 ✺
09.10.21	Vålerenga 2 - Asker Fotball	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLL
- Moss FK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.11.21	Moss - Hødd	1:3 ✺
30.10.21	Kvik Halden - Moss	1:0 ✺
27.10.21	Moss - Tromsdalen	4:0 ✺
23.10.21	Moss - Florø	3:1 ✺
16.10.21	Asker Fotball - Moss	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
26.06.21	Moss - Vålerenga 2	2:5
28.09.20	Vålerenga 2 - Moss	0:1
Club Friendly
01.02.20	Vålerenga 2 - Moss	0:0

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