Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 20

Date: 25 September 2023, Monday


	Vålerenga 2		Notodden

	1	X	2
	2.1	4.2	2.7	Watch
	2.23	4.11	2.59
	2	4	2.62
	2.22	3.74	2.6	Watch
	2.13	4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.8)	4.01 ↑ (4)	2.63 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga 2
42.7%

Draw
22.7%

Notodden
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

22.7%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

22.5%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vålerenga 2's performance.

Notodden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Notodden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga 2 than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vålerenga 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notodden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Vålerenga 2 - Notodden Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vålerenga 2 will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Notodden will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Sjoeng M. (G) 31. Bjurstrom M. H. 7. Eng J. 34. Jukleroed S. 27. Kjelsen A. (C) 5. Kreuzriegler M. 14. Risberg N. 9. Ronning A. 33. Thorstensen S. 28. Thorvaldsen F. 26. Vitinho	1. Raniowski M. (G) 25. Arsvoll E. I. 14. Berntsen A. 6. Bjornstad T. 7. Eggen K. 4. Hammerli J. 10. Hansen S. 8. Jonassen J. 22. Jorgensen S. 2. Ronning-Olsen A. 21. Tjomsland A.
Substitutes
10. Apold-Aasen L. 2. Brunskog V. 18. Drammeh O. 15. Granli J. 24. Hosainy S. 3. Opeyemi M. 23. Osnes-Ringen W. 1. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G) 8. Vidaurre I. W.	12. Bergesen J. 3. Husebo W. S. 5. Riise N. 18. Roisgaard M. 16. Skjold A. W. 19. Svarstad S. 24. Telle T. B. 20. Ulsnes J.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 4).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Notodden could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vålerenga 2 is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vålerenga 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vålerenga 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
18.09.23	Træff - Vålerenga 2	1:0 ✺
04.09.23	Vålerenga 2 - Grorud	1:0 ✺
28.08.23	Ørn-Horten - Vålerenga 2	5:0 ✺
21.08.23	Vålerenga 2 - Lyn	1:2 ✺
14.08.23	Vard Haugesund - Vålerenga 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LWLLW
- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
17.09.23	Notodden - Brattvåg	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Fram Larvik - Notodden	3:2 ✺
26.08.23	Grorud - Notodden	0:0 ✺
21.08.23	Notodden - Aalesunds 2	1:0 ✺
13.08.23	Træff - Notodden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
14.05.23	Notodden - Vålerenga 2	3:0
Club Friendly
19.03.21	Vålerenga 2 - Notodden	Canceled

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