Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vélez Sársfield 2		Atlético Tucumán 2

	1	X	2
	1.40	4.10	6.25
	1.39	4.05	6.3
	1.45	4.43	6.4
	1.44	4.27	6.39	Watch
	1.39	4.05	7.8
	1.5	4.26	5.97
	1.4	4.1	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.66)	4.18 ↑ (3.6)	6.47 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield 2
64.1%

Draw
21.8%

Atlético Tucumán 2
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

24.6%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

23.5%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield 2's performance.

Atlético Tucumán 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Tucumán 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán 2 than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Tucumán 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vélez Sársfield 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Vélez 2 is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vélez 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
18.08.26	Godoy Cruz 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Barracas Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:0 ✺
27.07.26	Banfield 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0 ✺
22.07.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TWTLL
- Atlético Tucumán 2
Argentinian Reserve League
18.08.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - River Plate 2	1:4 ✺
11.08.26	Racing Club 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	0:0 ✺
04.08.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:0 ✺
24.07.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:0 ✺
14.07.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Aldosivi 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
26.03.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:2
17.09.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:1
15.04.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:1
13.08.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:1
13.03.24	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:4
27.09.23	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0
18.02.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	5:2

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