Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vélez Sársfield 2		Gimnasia La Plata 2

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.90	6.25
	1.52	3.75	4.80	Watch
	1.49	4.00	6.38
	1.49	3.93	6.26	Watch
	1.44	3.70	7.40
	1.53	4.31	5.52
	1.46	4.00	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.81)	3.94 ↑ (3.3)	6.09 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield 2
61.8%

Draw
23.2%

Gimnasia La Plata 2
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.8%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

26.5%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield 2's performance.

Gimnasia La Plata 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia La Plata 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia La Plata 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 2.

Vélez 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gimnasia La Plata 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Vélez 2 is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Vélez 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
01.09.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:0 ✺
25.08.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Godoy Cruz 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Barracas Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWTWT
- Gimnasia La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
01.09.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - River Plate 2	0:1 ✺
25.08.26	Racing Club 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:4 ✺
19.08.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:0 ✺
04.08.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Aldosivi 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
08.04.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:1
21.10.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:1
20.05.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	3:1
17.10.24	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:1
16.05.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:0
05.09.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:0
28.01.23	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0

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