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Current Win Probability
Wadi Degla 49.2%
Draw 34.4%
Smouha 16.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.7%
34.9%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
35%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wadi Degla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wadi Degla's performance.
Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Smouha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (-16.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wadi Degla that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Smouha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Wadi Degla - Smouha Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Wadi Degla will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Smouha (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Smouha (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hossam A. (G) 4. Adel I. 14. Abdelaati M. 6. Aboul-Fetouh K. 5. Dahroug A. 23. Ayman A. 25. El Bahnasi I. 9. Boli F. 20. Oya Y. 19. Mohamed H. 10. Diasty M.
28. Mayhoub A. (G) 6. Amer A. 8. Fekri S. 20. Badji P. 24. Ragab M. 4. Dabash M. 23. Amadi S. 10. El Ghandour K. 7. El Sisi A. 35. Fawzi A. 11. Reda S. (C)
Substitutes
11. Abdelrahim M. 3. Adly O. 26. El Hattab H. (G) 32. Farouk A. 34. Kaandorp M. 24. Ragab M. 21. Reda A. 27. Refaat A. 8. Scholes A.
12. Afifi Y. 9. Ashraf H. 30. Hassan A. 14. Juhayna 22. Khaled A. 66. Mohamed K. 21. Mostafa M. 1. Soliman E. (G) 33. Yehia A.
Coaches
El Sheikh M.
Abdelaziz A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mohamed H. ↓, Scholes A. ↑,
46', El Bahnasi I. ↓, Kaandorp M. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Boli F. ⚽, Diasty M. (A),
53', Mayhoub A. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Fekri S. ⚽, Reda S. (A),
65', El Ghandour K. ↓, Yehia A. ↑,
73', Diasty M. 🟨,
73', Dahroug A. ↓, Reda A. ↑,
74', Amadi S. ↓, Ashraf H. ↑,
74', Diasty M. ↓, Farouk A. ↑,
81', Amer A. 🟨,
86', Oya Y. ↓, Abdelrahim M. ↑,
87', Abdelrahim M. 🟨,
90+3', Fekri S. 🟨,
90+3', Fekri S. ↓, Mostafa M. ↑,
90+3', Badji P. ↓, Juhayna ↑,
90+4', Boli F. 🟨,
90+4', Reda S. 🟨,
90+4', Fawzi A. ↓, Mohamed K. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 2.
Wadi Degla has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Smouha's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Smouha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:26. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Wadi Degla won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
Egypt
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Hossam A. (G) 
Boli F. 
Badji P. 
Amadi S. 
Kaandorp M. 
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