Match Info

Euro U21 - Qualification

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)

Referee: Culina A. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C


	Wales U21		Belgium U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.85	4.3	1.52
	6.43	4.59	1.46
	5.03	3.96	1.58	Watch
	5.84	4.25	1.5	Watch
	4.3	3.5	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.49 ↑ (4.3)	4.12 ↑ (3.5)	1.55 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wales U21
17%

Draw
22.7%

Belgium U21
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

25.9%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wales U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Belgium U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belgium U21's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Wales U21 - Belgium U21 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgium U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Belgium U21 will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Benjamin L. (G) Chester 16. Bland J. Barnsley 4. James E. Exeter 5. Cox D. Walsall 23. Harris A. Eastleigh 10. Lloyd B. Newport 6. Andrews K. Coventry 8. Crew C. (C) Doncaster 11. Congreve C. Dundee FC 13. Harris L. Oxford Utd 17. Nyakuhwa T. Cardiff	1. Penders M. (G) Strasbourg 2. Sabbe K. Club Brugge 4. Smets M. (C) Genk 14. Mokio J. Ajax 5. Dams M. Al Ahli SC 6. Van De Perre K. Royale Union SG 17. Vermant R. Club Brugge 18. Vermeeren A. Marseille 10. Mbangula S. Werder Bremen 9. Stassin L. St Etienne 7. Moreira D. Strasbourg
Substitutes
18. Agius C. Crewe 20. Biancheri G. 3. Giles L. Cardiff 15. Hammond B. Nottingham 7. Issaka F. Bristol Rovers 14. Mafico D. Cardiff 2. Parker S. Swansea 9. Popov C. Leicester 1. Watts E. (G) Galway United	11. Adedeji-Sternberg N. Genk 19. Bassette N. Reims 8. Delorge-Knieper M. Gent 22. De Roeve D. Brann 12. Epolo M. (G) St. Liege 20. Idumbo S. Monaco 15. Noubi L. Dep. La Coruna 16. Servais M. KV Mechelen 3. Spileers J. Club Brugge
Coaches
Jones M.	Swerts G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Mokio J. ⚽, Moreira D. (A),
40', 0 - 2, Stassin L. ⚽, Dams M. (A),
45+2', James E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
46', Lloyd B. ↓, Popov C. ↑,
46', Bland J. ↓, Parker S. ↑,
46', Harris A. ↓, Giles L. ↑,
49', 0 - 3, Vermant R. ⚽, Moreira D. (A),
62', James E. 🟨,
64', Nyakuhwa T. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
64', Harris L. ↓, Hammond B. ↑,
66', 0 - 4, Stassin L. ⚽, Mbangula S. (A),
69', 0 - 5, Moreira D. ⚽,
70', Dams M. ↓, Spileers J. ↑,
70', Mbangula S. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
70', Stassin L. ↓, Bassette N. ↑,
74', Andrews K. 🟨,
77', Vermant R. ↓, Idumbo S. ↑,
77', Moreira D. ↓, Servais M. ↑,
83', Parker S. 🟨,
84', 0 - 6, Bassette N. (Pen),
90+2', 0 - 7, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ⚽, Servais M. (A),

Preview

In this match, Belgium U21 is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wales U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wales U21
UEFA Euro U21
08.09.25	Wales U21 - Denmark U21	2:6 ✺
Friendly
06.06.25	Wales U21 - Norway U21	0:4 ✺
23.03.25	Wales U21 - Sweden U21	1:1 ✺
20.03.25	Wales U21 - Andorra U21	1:0 ✺
15.10.24	Slovakia U21 - Wales U21	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTWL
- Belgium U21
UEFA Euro U21
04.09.25	Belarus U21 - Belgium U21	1:1 ✺
Friendly
23.03.25	Belgium U21 - Andorra U21	4:0 ✺
20.03.25	Sweden U21 - Belgium U21	1:2 ✺
UEFA Euro U21
19.11.24	Czech Republic U21 - Belgium U21	1:1 ✺
15.11.24	Belgium U21 - Czech Republic U21	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro U21
09.10.20	Belgium U21 - Wales U21	5:0
06.09.19	Wales U21 - Belgium U21	1:0

Wales U21 - Belgium U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide