Match Info

Euro Women - Round 1

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Swissporarena (Luzern)

Referee: Klarlund F. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	RTSH Sport
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	ORF On, ORF Sport+, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	BNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, VRT Canvas
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	BHT 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	BNT 3
Canada	TSN 4, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Cyprus	RIK 2
Czech-republic	CT sport
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	YLE TV2
France	Free, Molotov TV, TMC
Georgia	1TV, 1TV Player
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, ZDF
Greece	ERT 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV
Hungary	Duna World / M4 Sport +
Iceland	RUV
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	RaiPlay, RAI Sport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	RTK 1
Lithuania	LRT Plius
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	Disney+
Moldova	TVR Moldova
Netherlands	Canal+, NPO 1, Sporza
Norway	NRK 1, NRK Sport, NRK TV
Peru	Disney+
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	TVR+, TVR Sport
Slovakia	STVR Sport
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Sport, S4C Digital, S4C
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FOX Network, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Sport 24 Extra


	Wales W		Netherlands W

	1	X	2
	17	5.5	1.22
	11	6.5	1.23
	13.5	5.5	1.21
	16.09	6.15	1.21
				Watch
	13	5.8	1.22
	17	5.95	1.24
	12.5	6.3	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.3 ↓ (14.62)	5.96 ↓ (7.3)	1.22 ↑ (1.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wales W
6.6%

Draw
15.8%

Netherlands W
77.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.5%

13%

80.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wales W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Netherlands W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	7.7%	92.3%

Wales W - Netherlands W Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Netherlands will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Netherlands: 77.8% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Wales (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Netherlands (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Netherlands (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Wales (9.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Wales (3.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Wales (votes: 4 - 40%). Netherlands (votes: 6 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Clark O. (G) Leicester 6. Green J. Crystal Palace 5. Roberts R. Betis 3. Evans G. Liverpool 2. Woodham L. Seattle Reign 8. James A. (C) Seattle Reign 10. Fishlock J. Seattle Reign 14. Ladd H. Everton 7. Holland C. Liverpool 11. Cain H. Leicester 18. Morgan E. Sheffield Utd	1. van Domselaar D. (G) Arsenal 18. Casparij K. Manchester City 20. Janssen D. Manchester United 4. Buurman V. Chelsea 11. Brugts E. Barcelona 14. Groenen J. PSG 10. van de Donk D. London City Lionesses 19. Kaptein W. Chelsea 17. Pelova V. Arsenal 9. Miedema V. (C) Manchester City 6. Roord J. Manchester City
Substitutes
9. Barton K. Charlton 16. Estcourt C. DC Power 22. Griffiths A. Southampton FC 15. Hughes E. Crystal Palace 4. Ingle S. 17. Joel L. Newcastle Utd 20. Jones C. Norrkoping 21. Middleton-Patel S. (G) Manchester United 23. Morgan F. Bristol City 19. Powell E. Bristol City 13. Rowe R. Southampton FC 12. Soper P. (G) Blackburn	7. Beerensteyn L. Wolfsburg 23. de Jong D. (G) Twente 3. Dijkstra C. Wolfsburg 21. Egurrola D. Lyon 12. Grant C. Aston Villa 13. Jansen R. PSV 16. Kop L. (G) Tottenham 5. Leuchter R. PSG 15. Snoeijs K. Everton 8. Spitse S. Ajax 22. Van Der Zanden I. Utrecht 2. Wilms L. Wolfsburg
Coaches
Wilkinson R.	Jonker A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Woodham L. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Miedema V. ⚽, van de Donk D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Morgan E. ↓, Powell E. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Pelova V. ⚽, van de Donk D. (A),
57', 0 - 3, Brugts E. ⚽, Pelova V. (A),
64', van de Donk D. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
64', Casparij K. ↓, Wilms L. ↑,
64', Cain H. ↓, Morgan F. ↑,
64', Fishlock J. ↓, Rowe R. ↑,
65', Green J. ↓, Barton K. ↑,
71', Miedema V. ↓, Beerensteyn L. ↑,
71', Brugts E. ↓, Spitse S. ↑,
79', Holland C. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
81', Buurman V. ↓, Dijkstra C. ↑,

Preview

Wales may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Netherlands is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wales won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wales W
UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Wales W - Italy W	1:4 ✺
30.05.25	Denmark W - Wales W	1:0 ✺
08.04.25	Sweden W - Wales W	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Wales W - Denmark W	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Wales W - Sweden W	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 LLTLT
- Netherlands W
Friendly International Women
26.06.25	Netherlands W - Finland W	2:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Netherlands W - Scotland W	1:1 ✺
30.05.25	Germany W - Netherlands W	4:0 ✺
08.04.25	Austria W - Netherlands W	1:3 ✺
04.04.25	Netherlands W - Austria W	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
08.07.17	Netherlands W - Wales W	5:0

Wales W - Netherlands W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide